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Will NCT04462770 (Epygenix) still show a study completion date of 31 May 2029 or earlier when checked on 30 June 2029?

deadline 2029-06-30 confidence low tier 4 evidence
48%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT04462770 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 June 2029, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 31 May 2029 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 5 October 2026: NCT04462770 is registered as RECRUITING, sponsored by Epygenix, with 150 participants. Started 2020-09; announced primary completion 2027-04-30, announced study completion 2029-05-31 — announced to the month only. Record last updated 2026-09-15. The date under test is 2029-05-31. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04462770

What pushes it up

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether the sponsor will update the record or encounter unforeseen delays before June 2029

How this number is built

Deadline2029-06-30
Base rate55%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs30 · 30 · 48 · 62 · 78 (spread 48 pts)
Confidencelow
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-10-05 07:35
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-120b (Groq)