Will NCT04462770 (Epygenix) still show a study completion date of 31 May 2029 or earlier when checked on 30 June 2029?
deadline 2029-06-30
confidence low
tier 4 evidence
48%PolySignal estimate
Resolution criterion
Yes if, when NCT04462770 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 June 2029, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 31 May 2029 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.
Verified starting state
As of 5 October 2026: NCT04462770 is registered as RECRUITING, sponsored by Epygenix, with 150 participants. Started 2020-09; announced primary completion 2027-04-30, announced study completion 2029-05-31 — announced to the month only. Record last updated 2026-09-15. The date under test is 2029-05-31. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04462770
What pushes it up
- Tier‑1 registry entry shows no updates or delays as of 2026‑09‑15 [1]
What pushes it down
- Long‑term trials often experience delays; historical data suggest many miss their announced dates [3]
What would move this number most
Whether the sponsor will update the record or encounter unforeseen delays before June 2029
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2029-06-30 |
| Base rate | 55% |
| Best evidence | tier 4 · 0 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 30 · 30 · 48 · 62 · 78 (spread 48 pts) |
| Confidence | low |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| Model | openai/gpt-oss-120b (Groq) |