Will NCT04906395 (Tolmar Inc.) still show a study completion date of 30 November 2026 or earlier when checked on 30 December 2026?
deadline 2026-12-30
confidence low
tier 4 evidence
70%PolySignal estimate
Resolution criterion
Yes if, when NCT04906395 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 December 2026, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 30 November 2026 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used.
Verified starting state
As of 30 September 2026: NCT04906395 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Tolmar Inc., with 250 participants. Started 2021-07; announced primary completion 2026-11-30, announced study completion 2026-11-30. Record last updated 2026-09-29. The date under test is 2026-11-30. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04906395
What pushes it up
- The registry entry was updated on 2026‑09‑29 and shows ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING with a study completion date of 2026‑11‑30, indicating a recent confirmation of the timeline. [1]
What would move this number most
Any unforeseen operational or regulatory issue between now and the end of November could cause a delay.
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2026-12-30 |
| Base rate | 65% |
| Best evidence | tier 4 · 0 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 43 · 55 · 70 · 70 · 70 (spread 27 pts) |
| Confidence | low |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-09-30 14:03 |
| Model | openai/gpt-oss-120b (Groq) |