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Will NCT04906395 (Tolmar Inc.) still show a study completion date of 30 November 2026 or earlier when checked on 30 December 2026?

deadline 2026-12-30 confidence low tier 4 evidence
70%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT04906395 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 December 2026, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 30 November 2026 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used.

Verified starting state

As of 30 September 2026: NCT04906395 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Tolmar Inc., with 250 participants. Started 2021-07; announced primary completion 2026-11-30, announced study completion 2026-11-30. Record last updated 2026-09-29. The date under test is 2026-11-30. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04906395

What pushes it up

What would move this number most

Any unforeseen operational or regulatory issue between now and the end of November could cause a delay.

How this number is built

Deadline2026-12-30
Base rate65%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs43 · 55 · 70 · 70 · 70 (spread 27 pts)
Confidencelow
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-09-30 14:03
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-120b (Groq)