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Will NCT05696613 (Cerium Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) still show a study completion date of 31 December 2027 or earlier when checked on 30 January 2028?

deadline 2028-01-30 confidence low tier 4 evidence
65%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT05696613 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 January 2028, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 31 December 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 5 October 2026: NCT05696613 is registered as RECRUITING, sponsored by Cerium Pharmaceuticals, Inc., with 148 participants. Started 2023-03; announced primary completion 2027-04-01, announced study completion 2027-12-31. Record last updated 2026-06-25. The date under test is 2027-12-31. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05696613

What pushes it up

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether the study will experience a delay that pushes the completion date beyond 31 Dec 2027

How this number is built

Deadline2028-01-30
Base rate70%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs35 · 35 · 65 · 72 · 75 (spread 40 pts)
Confidencelow
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-10-05 07:35
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-20b (Groq)