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Will NCT05850689 (Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc.) still show a study completion date of 5 April 2027 or earlier when checked on 5 May 2027?

deadline 2027-05-05 confidence low tier 4 evidence
60%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT05850689 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 5 May 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 5 April 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 2 October 2026: NCT05850689 is registered as RECRUITING, sponsored by Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc., with 470 participants. Started 2023-05; announced primary completion 2027-04-05, announced study completion 2027-04-05. Record last updated 2026-09-25. The date under test is 2027-04-05. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05850689

What pushes it up

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether the sponsor will update the ClinicalTrials.gov record or delay the study before the deadline.

How this number is built

Deadline2027-05-05
Base rate65%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs25 · 43 · 60 · 70 · 75 (spread 50 pts)
Confidencelow
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-10-03 09:00
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-20b (Groq)