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Will NCT05987956 (Medicine Invention Design, Inc) still show a study completion date of 28 December 2026 or earlier when checked on 27 January 2027?

deadline 2027-01-27 confidence medium tier 4 evidence
80%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT05987956 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 27 January 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 28 December 2026 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 4 October 2026: NCT05987956 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Medicine Invention Design, Inc, with 600 participants. Started 2026-03; announced primary completion 2026-11-18, announced study completion 2026-12-28. Record last updated 2026-09-29. The date under test is 2026-12-28. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05987956

What pushes it up

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether participant follow-up and data collection conclude on schedule in December 2026 without operational delays.

How this number is built

Deadline2027-01-27
Base rate75%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs78 · 82 (spread 4 pts)
Confidencemedium
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-10-04 07:35
Modelgemini-3.6-flash