Will NCT05987956 (Medicine Invention Design, Inc) still show a study completion date of 28 December 2026 or earlier when checked on 27 January 2027?
deadline 2027-01-27
confidence medium
tier 4 evidence
80%PolySignal estimate
Resolution criterion
Yes if, when NCT05987956 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 27 January 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 28 December 2026 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.
Verified starting state
As of 4 October 2026: NCT05987956 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Medicine Invention Design, Inc, with 600 participants. Started 2026-03; announced primary completion 2026-11-18, announced study completion 2026-12-28. Record last updated 2026-09-29. The date under test is 2026-12-28. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05987956
What pushes it up
- The trial status is ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING with all 600 participants enrolled, eliminating recruitment delay risk [1].
- The record was updated on 2026-09-29, confirming the study completion date of 2026-12-28 just days before today's date [1].
What pushes it down
- Follow-up, data cleaning, or administrative processing can experience minor delays, pushing completion into early 2027 [1].
- If the sponsor fails to update the study status post-completion, the record could fall into 'Unknown status', which resolves to NO under the criteria [1].
What would move this number most
Whether participant follow-up and data collection conclude on schedule in December 2026 without operational delays.
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2027-01-27 |
| Base rate | 75% |
| Best evidence | tier 4 · 0 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 78 · 82 (spread 4 pts) |
| Confidence | medium |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-10-04 07:35 |
| Model | gemini-3.6-flash |