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Will NCT06506955 (Taiho Oncology, Inc.) still show a study completion date of 30 April 2027 or earlier when checked on 30 May 2027?

deadline 2027-05-30 confidence medium tier 4 evidence
68%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT06506955 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 May 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 30 April 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 2 October 2026: NCT06506955 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Taiho Oncology, Inc., with 15 participants. Started 2024-10; announced primary completion 2027-04-30, announced study completion 2027-04-30 — announced to the month only. Record last updated 2026-07-28. The date under test is 2027-04-30. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06506955

What pushes it up

What would move this number most

Whether the trial will experience a delay or termination before 30 May 2027.

How this number is built

Deadline2027-05-30
Base rate65%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs65 · 70 (spread 5 pts)
Confidencemedium
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-10-03 09:02
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-20b (Groq)