Will NCT06733129 (Nantes University Hospital) still show a study completion date of 30 April 2027 or earlier when checked on 30 May 2027?
deadline 2027-05-30
confidence medium
tier 4 evidence
43%PolySignal estimate
Resolution criterion
Yes if, when NCT06733129 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 30 May 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 30 April 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.
Verified starting state
As of 5 October 2026: NCT06733129 is registered as RECRUITING, sponsored by Nantes University Hospital, with 1218 participants. Started 2025-04; announced primary completion 2027-04-14, announced study completion 2027-04-30. Record last updated 2025-12-02. The date under test is 2027-04-30. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06733129
What pushes it up
- The study is already in the recruiting phase, indicating that the trial is active and moving through its timeline [1].
- The primary and study completion dates are specifically defined (April 14 and April 30), suggesting a granular project plan [1].
What pushes it down
- The record has not been updated since December 2025, which is a negative signal for timeline adherence and increases the risk of the status becoming 'Unknown' [1].
- A large recruitment target of 1,218 participants increases the risk of delays, which is common in hospital-led studies [1].
- The resolution criteria are strict: any status change to 'Unknown', 'Suspended', or any pushback of the date results in a 'No' [1].
What would move this number most
The lack of a record update for nearly 10 months makes it difficult to verify if recruitment is on track for the 1,218-participant goal.
How this number is built
| Deadline | 2027-05-30 |
| Base rate | 50% |
| Best evidence | tier 4 · 0 article(s) used |
| Independent runs | 40 · 45 (spread 5 pts) |
| Confidence | medium |
| Evidence cap | not triggered |
| Last revised | 2026-10-06 09:04 |
| Model | gemini-3-flash-preview |