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Will NCT06987695 (Amgen) still show a study completion date of 21 July 2027 or earlier when checked on 20 August 2027?

deadline 2027-08-20 confidence medium tier 4 evidence
58%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT06987695 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 20 August 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 21 July 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used. If that exact field is absent or empty on an otherwise existing record, that also counts as no – a missing date is not evidence the deadline will be met, it is treated the same as a halted record.

Verified starting state

As of 6 October 2026: NCT06987695 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by Amgen, with 279 participants. Started 2025-06; announced primary completion 2027-04-27, announced study completion 2027-07-21. Record last updated 2025-12-17. The date under test is 2027-07-21. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06987695

What pushes it up

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether the remaining follow-up and data collection phases encounter any operational or administrative delays.

How this number is built

Deadline2027-08-20
Base rate65%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs55 · 60 (spread 5 pts)
Confidencemedium
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-10-06 07:36
Modelgemini-3.5-flash