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Will NCT07000136 (AstraZeneca) still show a study completion date of 4 January 2027 or earlier when checked on 3 February 2027?

deadline 2027-02-03 confidence low tier 4 evidence
70%PolySignal estimate

Resolution criterion

Yes if, when NCT07000136 is read on clinicaltrials.gov on 3 February 2027, the exact API field protocolSection.statusModule.completionDateStruct.date — Study Completion Date is 4 January 2027 or earlier — that is, the date announced today has not been pushed back. A later recorded date counts as no. If OverallStatus is Terminated, Withdrawn, Suspended, or Unknown status, that counts as no — an unmaintained or halted record is treated as a failure to hold the date, not as a technicality. The value returned by the ClinicalTrials.gov API on the deadline prevails; where the record gives a month without a day, the last day of that month is used.

Verified starting state

As of 30 September 2026: NCT07000136 is registered as ACTIVE_NOT_RECRUITING, sponsored by AstraZeneca, with 473 participants. Started 2025-06; announced primary completion 2027-01-04, announced study completion 2027-01-04. Record last updated 2026-07-16. The date under test is 2027-01-04. Source: clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07000136

What pushes it down

What would move this number most

Whether the study will experience a delay or early completion before the deadline.

How this number is built

Deadline2027-02-03
Base rate75%
Best evidencetier 4 · 0 article(s) used
Independent runs38 · 70 · 70 · 85 · 88 (spread 50 pts)
Confidencelow
Evidence capnot triggered
Last revised2026-09-30 14:09
Modelopenai/gpt-oss-20b (Groq)